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To meet the challenges of the future, NATO needs operationally agile forces that are resilient, strategically aware, supported by proactive strategic communications, and networked with a wide range of security partners.

Our work ensures that Alliance, national leaders and defence planners have a common perspective from which to anticipate the challenges facing the Alliance in the decades to come.

Strategic Foresight Analysis

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Leading NATO’s military transformation and developing capabilities to address defence and security challenges by providing future military estimates, perspectives and advice is one of the key tasks given to Allied Command Transformation.

Allied Command Transformation has developed an enduring capability to meet this task; the persistent foresight and future studies. The initial part of this effort, the Strategic Foresight Analysis, addresses the opportunities and challenges of the future.

The aim of the Strategic Foresight Analysis is to identify trends that shape the future strategic context and derive defence and security implications for the Alliance to 2030 and beyond. It serves as the foundation of the Framework for Future Alliance Operations, a strategy document to assist with preparations for the future military capabilities of the Alliance.

Framework for Future Alliance Operations

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The Framework for Future Alliance Operations is updated on a four-year cycle in concert with the NATO Defence Planning Process to provide an informed perspective of the challenges and opportunities facing the Alliance forces in the decades to come.

It is intended to inform National defence planning; strategic discussions and white papers; NATO defence planning; capability development; concept development; and doctrine, training, exercises, leadership, and education.

Overall, this is a strategic level document, and although it will discuss abilities NATO forces may require in the future, it is not intended to constrain NATO's decision making, National-defence planning, nor detailed capabilities development efforts.

Of note, this document is unclassified and disclosed to the general public to stimulate discussion and debate.


Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop - NATO Joint Warfare Centre, Stavanger, Norway, 2-5 October 2017

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The Framework for Future Alliance Operations (FFAO) informs the transformation of NATO's military forces and provides input to the NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP). With the start of the next NDPP cycle in 2019, Allied Command Transformation (ACT) is currently leading the development of the FFAO 2018 to provide the combined Strategic Commanders' best military advice in time.

The quality of this important document depends heavily on the active support and involvement of the wider NATO community. Therefore, we kindly ask you to contribute to the final workshop in the production of the FFAO 2018, to validate and to supplement the Military Implications of the previous FFAO (2015).

The workshop will take place at the Joint Warfare Centre (JWC) in Stavanger, Norway from 02-05 October 2017. We are specifically looking forward to the participation of Staff Officers (OF-3/4/5 or civilian equivalent) currently working on defence planning issues or with relevant experience in that field.

We request participants to complete their registration by 8 September 2017. Please see Administrative Instruction below.

Workshop documents:

Workshop Invitation Letter | Agenda | Read Ahead | Administrative Instructions

Should there be any questions, please contact us.

Points of contact:
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., Strategic Analysis Branch, branch head;
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., for Framework for Future Alliance Operations matters; and
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., +1-757-747-3268 or NCN 555-3268, for coordination issues.





Supreme Allied Command Transformation - Strategic Plans & Policy - Strategic Analysis Branch Contact information

Branch Head: Colonel Tibor Szabo, Hungary, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., +1(757)747-3374

Senior Analyst: Lieutenant Colonel Flemming Weber Jensen, Norway, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., +1(757)747-3489

Strategic Foresight Analysis team leader: Mr Mehmet Kinaci, Turkey, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., +1(757)747-3991

Framework for Future Alliance Operations team leader: Lieutenant Colonel Aaron Bazin, USA, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., +1(757)747-3693